Early Horse Racing Tips – 10th October 2015
Another huge day on the ponies this Saturday with even more Group races gracing our screen.
Our horse racing messiah (let’s call him that at the moment), it forcing the bookies to re-mortgage their houses at a rapid rate. Feels good!
Let’s see what early stuff he has in store for us. Be warned he has gone for some value here, so while we believe they are every chance there is some extra risk in tough races. We have built a huge profit to re-invest. Let’s make more and more!
To date in 2015 we are 526+ units in profit. That’s $52k if you are a $100 punter, or $5.2k for you $10 punters. Not bad at all.
Maximising your Profits
Outside of getting odds early, the best way to maximise your wins is to have online bookies that gives you the best markets. While we use many bookies (and may bring them for best odds), the best of the lot as a single bookie is Bet365.
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– Early fixed odds.
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– ‘Middle tote+’ giving you the best middle tote plus 5%
– ‘Best fluctuation’ markets giving you the best official on-course price
Bet365 also offers the 3 place dividends on early bets when the number of horses is 8 or more. Last week this was essential, as those who placed the multi close to race time missed out because Shiraz ran 3rd.
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We recommend placing 1 unit each way on those with suitable place odds ($2.00 or more). Otherwise it is 2 units on the nose or 1 unit for multi’s.
Remember 1 unit = 1% of your bankroll. So for those of you with a $1000 bankroll your unit will be $10
Saturday 10th October 2015
Race 2 – Mitsubishi Electric Schillaci Stakes (1100 METRES)
Analysis: Lankan Rupee probably wins this but at $1.20 fixed I won’t even bother. Have to have 1 unit on Shiraz at those odds just in case. With the right run he may catch the Rupee a little underdone.
Tip: Shiraz (1 unit WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet right here
Tip: Quinella (1st) Lankan Rupee (2nd) Shiraz (1 unit WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet right here
Race 5 – Ladbrokes Caulfield Stakes (2000 METRES)
Analysis: Is really building into to this. Has bigger fish to fry but 2000m suits. If he is clear in the straight he is a bloody tough horse and they will have to work to beat him. Kermadec and Fawkner are the obvious dangers and could find a little more in the finish.
Tip: Mongolian Khan (1 unit each way @ $12.00 and $3.00) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Saver: Kermadec (2 units WIN @ $3.00) >> Ladbrokes Place your bet here
Saver: Fawkner (2 units WIN @ $5.00) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Race 7 – David Jones NBCF Toorak Handicap (1600 METRES)
Analysis: An early rough here in the big one. Such a tough race but I like the QLDers chance here. Will be fitter and more relaxed in Vic second up. Step up to the mile is perfect and so is the inside barrier. Expect him to sit closer this time in and watch for him coming home late at massive odds. Really anything could win this with some luck, so let’s roll the dice and re-invest some profit.
Tip: Hopfgarten (1 unit each-way @ $21.00 and $5.00) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Race 8 – Schweppes Thousand Guineas (1600 METRES)
Analysis: We got word on this girl when she started and she has shown plenty. Everyone wrote her off last start and we were there to collect $11 for the place. She was forced to race wide in that race and used up plenty making a move on the turn. Barrier 1 here should see a fantastic trail if she jumps well. Make no mistake she has a brilliant turn of foot so if within striking range she is every chance at stupid odds again
Tip: Payroll (1 unit each-way @ $21.00 and $4.33) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Saver: Miss Gunpowder (2 units WIN @ $6.00) >> Ladbrokes Place your bet here
Race 9 – BECK Caulfield Guineas (1600 METRES)
Analysis: Really let us down last start when missed the start completely and never go into it. Having said this, a 1.95L 9th really isn’t far away considering the run. Will appreciate the jump to 1600m and the favourite is drawn very awkwardly. Real chance on his home turf!
Tip: Ready for Victory (1 unit each way @ $9.00 and $3.10) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Royal Randwick (NSW)
Race 4 – Cellarbrations October Handicap (1400 METRES)
Analysis: Was knocking on the door until a brilliant finish last start. Drawn perfectly and in a similar quality field, should be winning again.
Tip: Music Magnate (2 units WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Race 5 – Myer Spring Fashion Handicap (2000 METRES)
Analysis: You know why….was solid last start without luck. Barrier 5 is perfect and he will be at peak fitness now. GO THE OAK!
Tip: Herne’s Oak (2 units each way at $8.00 and $2.80) >> Ladbrokes Place your bet here
Race 6 – Myer Spring Fashion Handicap (2000 METRES)
Analysis: Belted this field last start so it is hard to see anything different here.
Tip: Vanbrugh (3 units WIN) >> Ladbrokes Place your bet here
Race 4 – Harcourts Green Living Open Handicap (2030 METRES)
Analysis: Keeps drawing well and keeps winning. This field is no stronger so why not.
Tip: Lock’s Legend (2 units WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet right here
Race 5 – Bartons Class 6 Plate (1630 METRES)
Analysis: Was solid first up and carries absolutely no weight here. Likes this distance range and should be finishing off nicely.
Tip: Col’n’Lill (1 unit each way) >> Place your bet right here
Race 6 – Tacoma Plumbing Colts, Geldings and Entires No Metro Wins Handicap (1200 METRES)
Analysis: Motored home last start to just miss the place. Will be fitter here and right in this.
Tip: Bearskin (1 unit each way @ $7.00 and $2.50) >> Best fixed odds with Ladbrokes
Race 1 – Happy 90th Birthday Glo carter Handicap (1400 METRES)
Analysis: Easy win last start in easier company but showed her class prior behind the very classy Hot Goods. Looks well place to make it a double.
Tip: Rebel Queen (2 units WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Race 3 – Irish Day Trophy (1000 METRES)
Analysis: This is a very very good horse resuming. No trials leading in so its always a risk how she may return. At her ability she wins easily against some other good horses. At $1.45 fixed I will give it a wide berth, but I will see how the market goes closer. Keep in mind!
Tip: Sheidel (2 unit WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Race 4 – Return To Ascot Just Around The Corner Handicap (1200 METRES)
Analysis: Williams/Pike combo here on a horse absolutely flying. Motored home to just miss last start and really should be winning here.
Tip: Mississippian (2 unit WIN) >> Bet365 Place your bet here
Race 6 – Farewell And Thank You Nikos Handicap (1600 METRES)
Analysis: Meets Raising Dubai better at the weights here and drawn perfectly. Personally think the odds are overs and he will start around $5-6.
Tip: Rebelson (1 unit each way @ $8.50 and $2.75) >> Bet365 Place your bet here