AFL TIPS – ROUND 2


 

AFL Tips – Round 2

Our AFL handicapper is on a mission and sent through these solid early plays for Round 2. He as a knack of finding lines before they plummet, so GET ON EARLY.

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GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY – Player Prop

TIP: Jeremy Cameron Over 2+ goals (2 goals = money back and 3 goals wins)
ODDS: $1.85
STAKE: 3 units
BOOKIE: Luxbet

ANALYSIS: Crazy odds being offered here as Bet365 has this set @ $1.22. Simple, he kicked 4 last week and is now playing Melbourne at home.

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RICHMOND – Player Prop

TIP: Trent Cotchin Over 91.5 DT points
ODDS: $1.87
STAKE: 1.5 units
BOOKIE: Luxbet

ANALYSIS: Although Cotchin had a quiet game last week thanks to Carrazzo, Cotchin last year gathered 28 disposals against bulldogs and a nice 117 DT points. Look for him to bounce back from his ordinary game last week.

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RICHMOND – Player Prop

TIP: Jack Riewoldt over 2.5 goals
ODDS: $1.85
STAKE: 2 units
BOOKIE: Luxbet

ANALYSIS: Last week Riewoldt kicked 4 goals and last year kicked 4 goals against bulldogs. These odds are well overs with Bet365 having this set @ 1.53 and Centrebet @ 1.65.

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SYDNEY – Player Prop

TIP: Luke Parker Over 26+ possessions (26 possessions = money back, 27 possessions = winner)
ODDS: $1.87
BOOKIE: Luxbet
STAKE: 1 unit

ANALYSIS: Luke Parker Racked up 35 possessions last week in only 64% time on ground before he collided with Franklin. Parker trained with Sydney this week so he looks likely that he will play. Although this line provides excellent value (Sportsbet have him to get 25 touches only @1.22) there is some risk involved after what happened last week. Nevertheless he is an absolute jet and should cover this line.

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ADELAIDE – Middling Bet

TIP: Richard Douglas OVER 23.5 possessions
ODDS: $1.87
STAKE: 3 units
BOOKIE: Luxbet

TIP: Richard Douglas UNDER 25.5 possessions @ 1.87
ODDS: $1.87
STAKE: 2.5 units
BOOKIE: Sportsbet

– If Douglas gets 26 or more possessions we win 0.11 units
– If Douglas gets 23 or less possessions we lose 0.83 units
– If Douglas gets 24 or 25 possessions we win 4.78 units