AFL TIPS – Round 1

Our two player markets didn’t fire a shot Thursday night, so let’s dig in today and find some winners.

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Western Bulldogs vs West Coast

 **TIP: Jackson Macrae (WB) to have atleast 11 kicks and 11 handballs (EARLY in the week)

ANALYSIS: With the likes of Griffen and Libba out Jack Macrae will have an even more important role in the midfield this year. Last year he averaged 14.4 kicks and 12.4 handballs a game and collected 15 kicks and 16 handballs against West Coast last year in round 1 despite them losing by 60+. In the two games he played in NAB cup he played an average of 83% game time surpassing this line against Collingwood. Another year under the belt in the midfield with the importance to step up due to limited midfielders Jack Macrae should get plenty of game time to dominate this line.

ODDS: $1.72

STAKE: 2 units

BOOKIE: Sportsbet

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TIP: West Coast 1-39

ODDS: $2.25

STAKE: 2 units

BOOKIE: Sportsbet

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TIP: Game total OVER 185.5

ODDS: $1.90

STAKE: 2 units

BOOKIE: Luxbet

 

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Melbourne vs Gold Coast

**TIP: Gold Coast -12.5 (EARLY in the week – now 15.5)

ODDS: $1.90

STAKE: 2 units

BOOKIE: Bet365

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TIP: Gold Coast to win

ODDS: $1.37

STAKE: 4 units

BOOKIE: Sportsbet-> promotion if they lead at any quarter and lose = MONEY BACK

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TIP: Dream team specials -> Dom Tyson (Melb) more dream team points than David Swallow

Quick analysis: Dom Tyson has been a standout this pre-season, ranking No.1 at the club for kicks and uncontested possessions, and scoring at a massive 1.22 points per minute.

ODDS: $1.85

STAKE: 2 units

BOOKIE: Bet365

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TIP: Gary Ablett OVER 30.5 possessions

Quick analysis: Scary enough but the little master is running better times than he ever has. He loves playing Melbourne and the MCG always brings out his best. The most appealing part of this bet is the value. Only $1.75 for over 30 and on Bet365 the same market is only $1.65

ODDS: $1.95

STAKE: 2 units

BOOKIE: Sportsbet

 

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Sydney vs Essendon

TIP: Sydney to win

ODDS: $1.32

STAKE: 4 units

BOOKIE: Sportsbet-> promotion if they lead at any quarter and lose = MONEY BACK