AFL Preliminary Finals Preview – 22nd September


 

AFL Finals Preview – Week 3 (Preliminary Finals)

Finals so far have not resembled the season in any way. In a season of comebacks and close matches, the finals are anything but.

The biggest shock exit was the Swans, but we are down to the pointy end so anything can and probably will happen.

I personally love Preliminary Finals week. The last hurrah before the big dance and no team will leave a single thing on the field.

Here is our AFL Preliminary Finals Preview for Week 3.


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Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats

Adelaide Oval – Friday 22nd September 2017

The Crows have been the team of 2017, but that does not mean they deserve a flag, and it does not mean the will win it.

I am always wary of the week off, and sometimes it can mean teams come in a little switched off. We have seen it before but predicting it is impossible. So we must go on what we know.

The Crows are a scoring powerhouse. They average over 4 goals more than their opponents, and almost 2 goals more a game than second best in the AFL. Any team that can reach 100 regularly is very hard to beat. Not to mention at home, where their stats are even more impressive. Six more goals on average over their opponents, meaning they win 40+ on average in 2017 at home. They are going to be rested, and very hard to beat in front of their home mob!

Now to the Cats. I have openly said that they haven’t been as impressive to me as the paper suggests. However, last week when it mattered I think they played their best footy all season. They will need to again here or they are goneski.

The Cats aren’t as impressive offensively; however, they do sit in the top few in 2017. The key cogs are there, but I still question their fringe players. That’s where the difference may be here.

It is very hard to see the Cats winning this, but most said the same last week. They are here, and they are every chance. I think they fall just short though.

Prediction

Crows by 12


Richmond Tigers v GWS Giants

MCG – Saturday 23rd September 2017

What a daunting proposition this is for the young Giants. Not necessarily because of their opponent, but the weight against them at the MCG will be insane.

Like the Cats, GWS were another side last week that almost played their best game of the season. The Eagles aren’t much chop, but they showed great signs that they will need to produce again to be a chance here. They arguably looked better without their key bigs, but time will tell.

Anyone would think the Tigers have already won the flag, but in fairness that’s not the club doing it. They are playing very good team footy, and if they haven’t lost their mojo during the break, then they will be hard to beat here.

I am still not convinced the Giants have what it takes this year. They have the squad, and will be a force for years to come, but right here and right now I am not sure. With 80,000 Tigers fans screaming down the MCG, it may well be a little too much for the Giants. Plus the Tigers are playing too good to ignore.

Like the Cats, the Giants are every chance but they are likely to fall just short based on recent evidence.

Prediction

Tigers by 16


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