HORSE RACING TIPS – 2nd May 2015


 

HORSE RACING TIPS – 2nd May 2015

Last week was a frustrating bleep on our awesome year to date. They do come and go, but let’s take aim to push through on a day with plenty of chances and possibly a little value floating about.

 

******************************************

PREFERRED STAKING

Outside of getting odds early, the best way to maximise your wins is to have an online bookie that gives you the ‘BEST OF’ markets. We prefer Bet365 because it gives you the BEST of the totes OR the fixed price, and always seem to have the best FIXED odds. BANG!

Get a Bet365 account here

We recommend placing 1 unit each way on those with suitable place odds ($1.80 or more). Otherwise it is 2 units on the nose or 1 unit for multi’s.

 

******************************************

HAWKESBURY

RACE 3 – Loophole

Back to the ideal trip here and has done plenty right this prep. Will get a nice trail from barrier 4 and will be charging home.

 

RACE 4 – Diamond Oasis

I great form and drawn perfectly to go forward. Is comfortable in the wet and there is nothing to suggest he can’t win this.

 

RACE 7 – Rekindled Power

Has been racing in much tougher than this lately and powered home in the heavy last start. Will be fitter and has a very smart jockey on board.

 

RACE 8 – Wings

Going for value here. Has been finishing off nicely and drops weight on last few. In the heavy this may be telling.

 

******************************************

CAULFIELD

RACE 1 – Jessy Belle

Was probably pushed too long last prep, but prior to the last few was in super form. Bit of a risk here with no trial form but in this field I will take it.

 

RACE 4 – Liberty Rock

Is a super horse but just can’t get a decent run at it. Loves it fresh and was scratched earlier in the week for this. Will no doubt go forward and is as tough as nails to chase down.

 

RACE 5 – Payroll

Good race this but I can’t go past Payroll. Won first up easily after some great mail. Second up should of won with any luck whatsoever. Barrier is a concern, but if she goes forward and sits handy she will be very hard to outsprint.

 

RACE 9 – Pyrrolic

Is the class horse here and has run well behind much stronger company. Is drawn perfectly and the additional distance suits. Good one to end the day on.

 

*******************************************

MORPHETTVILLE

RACE 1 – Capodecina

I am willing to forgive last start and give him another go. Better barrier suits perfectly here.

 

RACE 4 – Misty Waters

This horse lost by 35L last start…WHAT? It was her first start in SA and clearly she just couldn’t be arsed running that day. Based on her superb first two starts I will give her another chance here and see what she delivers.

 

RACE 6 – Marianne

Has been super behind some tougher horses in Melbourne and Sydney. Drawn perfectly and is likely to shorten closer to the race. Will give this a huge shake.

 

RACE 7 – Magnifisio

Bit of value here against a solid favourite. Has drawn perfectly and is a proven big race winner. Nice first up run but it is second up where she shines, winning 5 of 6 starts and a place. I am happy to give her a chance here at odds that are way overs.

 

RACE 8 – Yesterday’s Songs

Barrier one should ensure a nice passage but he will need a little luck in the straight. Having said that he looked super first up and has won his only second up by 5.5L. Drops 5.5kgs on that and Oliver comes across to ride gives us a little hint.

 

*************************************************************

TOOWOOMBA

RACE 6 – Hopfgarten

This is an interesting race and Hopfgarten is horse we have followed for a while now. The top weight is the class horse but 60.5kgs with no heavy track form, I will take the risk against it. Hopfgarten likes the wet and from all accounts is a group horse in the making. I will take him again from barrier 4.

 

RACE 7 – Skylimit

Half-brother to the Golden Slipper winner Overreach. Was tough first up in a strong race and then solid second up. Be aware, the barrier worries a little and is yet to test the heavy track, but if he starts well enough to cross he should be tough to run down.

 

*************************************************************

MULTI’s if this is what you like….

 

BIG PLACE MULTI (If less than 8 runners the leave it out)

Rekindled Power

Payroll

Pyrrolic

Hopfgarten

Marianne

Magnifisio

Yesterday’s Songs

 

MIXED MULTI

Pyrrolic WIN

Payroll PLACE

Marianne PLACE

Yesterday’s Songs PLACE

Hopfgarten PLACE

Remember to go grab a Bet365 account. They easily offer the best alternate lines to lower your risk and increase value, and the in-play markets are awesome.